BetterHelp · App Store rank Δ
"How stressed is America today, in App Store ranks."
When this fires, SPY moved in the same direction as the signal 72% of the time over the next trading week.
↑58%
↑72%
51%
49%
— High-confidence fires· what's signaling now —
view:
Indicators that fired in the last 120 days with the strongest historical track record. Sorted by deviation-from-chance × recency. Browse the full universe →
McRib Comeback · days since
"How long has it been since the McRib was last reintroduced."
When this fires, SPY moved in the same direction as the signal 68% of the time over the next trading week.
51%
↑68%
↑55%
49%
Initial Jobless Claims
Weekly first-time UI filings reported by the DOL.
When this fires, SPY moved in the same direction as the signal 64% of the time over the next trading month.
↑55%
↑61%
↑64%
↑59%
— Standard Poorly dispatch —
Timely market signals you won't find elsewhere. Plus the occasional “Poorly”-proven correlation we tripped over in the data — pork futures → McRib launches → Bitcoin, that kind of thing. Cadence: when the data warrants it. Usually weekly.
Knicks won last night
1 if the Knicks won, else 0.
Historically barely better than chance over the next trading day.
↑53%
49%
50%
51%
Tinder · App Store rank
Daily change in U.S. App Store rank for Tinder.
When this fires, SPY moved in the opposite direction as the signal 62% of the time over the next trading week.
↓58%
↓62%
51%
50%
CNN Fear & Greed
Composite sentiment index from CNN Money.
When this fires, SPY moved in the same direction as the signal 74% of the time over the next trading week.
↑61%
↑74%
↑58%
↑52%