StandardPoorly
— Engine state · live —

Live signals

What the engine is saying right now. Brewing reads, today's fires, predictions still in their forward window, and the freshest just-exited calls.

Analyst · previewYou're seeing the public read on the live signals grid. Analyst unlocks saved watchlists + alerts when an indicator fires + the full multi-year hit-rate breakdown on each card. Trader adds real-time refresh + compound alert rules (cross-signal AND / OR triggers) + the API + MCP for pulling into Claude / Cursor.Compare tiers →
Approaching
0
|z| ∈ [1.5, 2.0)
Firing today
0
|z| ≥ 2.0
In window
217
99↑ · 81↓ predictions live
Just exited
12
last 30 trading days

Approaching the fire threshold

0 indicators

Latest reading is brewing — |z| ∈ [1.5, 2.0). Could fire tomorrow.

No indicators currently brewing.

Firing today

0 indicators

Crossed the fire threshold today (|z| ≥ 2.0). The engine is making a live call.

No indicators firing today. Most days are quiet — check Approaching above for what's about to light up.

In window

217 indicators

Prior fires whose forward-prediction window is still open. The engine has live calls here that haven't been settled yet.

Indicator↕Horizon↕Fired↕Days remaining↕Predicted return↕Status↕
Philadelphia Sunshine 1 yr252d ago0d+1.96%●Still works on fresh data
Boston Temperature 3 mo63d ago0d+0.03%●Still works on fresh data
Days since last full moon 1 wk5d ago0d-0.08%◌Fell apart on fresh data
Investment-Grade Corporate OAS 1 yr121d ago5d+0.72%●Still works on fresh data
Eagle Materials (EXP) stock price 6 mo121d ago5d+0.02%●Still works on fresh data
Sacramento Sunshine 1 yr246d ago6d+4.35%●Still works on fresh data
ETH MACD histogram 1 mo174d ago6d+0.34%●Still works on fresh data
Bitcoin 1 mo174d ago6d+0.26%●Still works on fresh data
BTC MACD histogram 3 mo173d ago7d+0.33%●Still works on fresh data
Industrial Production — Electric Power Generation 6 mo240d ago12d-3.68%○Not yet retested on fresh data
Industrial Production — Utilities 6 mo240d ago12d-3.65%●Still works on fresh data
St Louis Sunshine 1 yr240d ago12d+2.22%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: Chicago 1 yr240d ago12d+0.68%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — Central region 1 mo8d ago13d-0.76%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: Washington DC 3 mo239d ago13d+0.52%●Still works on fresh data
Pittsburgh Sunshine 1 yr239d ago13d+1.17%●Still works on fresh data
Chicago Sunshine Duration 1 yr238d ago14d+2.08%●Still works on fresh data
Detroit Sunshine 1 yr238d ago14d+1.64%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — Southwest region 1 mo5d ago16d-0.33%●Still works on fresh data
PayPal (PYPL) stock price 1 yr159d ago21d+1.51%●Still works on fresh data
10Y Treasury Yield 6 mo68d ago22d-2.57%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — Florida region 3 mo41d ago22d+0.55%●Still works on fresh data
WTI Crude ATR(14) 6 mo100d ago26d-1.07%●Still works on fresh data
Charlotte Temperature 1 yr226d ago26d+0.24%●Still works on fresh data
Pittsburgh Temperature 1 yr226d ago26d+0.08%●Still works on fresh data
Federal Funds Rate (daily) 1 yr225d ago27d-6.28%●Still works on fresh data
Hilton (HLT) stock price 6 mo99d ago27d+0.04%●Still works on fresh data
Airbnb (ABNB) stock price 6 mo98d ago28d-1.46%●Still works on fresh data
Charlotte Sunshine 1 yr223d ago29d+2.07%●Still works on fresh data
SPY MACD histogram 3 mo97d ago29d-0.03%●Still works on fresh data
NYC Precipitation 1 yr222d ago30d-3.98%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: Philadelphia 1 yr222d ago30d+0.94%●Still works on fresh data
WTI Crude Oil 6 mo91d ago35d-0.89%●Still works on fresh data
Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel (US Gulf Coast) 1 wk91d ago35d-0.12%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — New England region 3 mo27d ago36d-2.57%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — Mid-Atlantic region 3 mo27d ago36d-2.10%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — Midwest region 3 mo27d ago36d-2.05%●Still works on fresh data
US Electricity Demand (daily) 3 mo27d ago36d-1.80%●Still works on fresh data
Brent Crude 3 mo90d ago36d+0.14%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: Seattle 1 yr215d ago37d+1.21%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: New York 1 yr215d ago37d+0.73%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: Detroit 1 yr215d ago37d+0.57%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: Boston 1 yr212d ago40d+0.76%●Still works on fresh data
Rivian 1 mo212d ago40d-0.48%●Still works on fresh data
Crypto Fear & Greed Index 6 mo85d ago41d+1.76%●Still works on fresh data
Atlanta Temperature 1 yr211d ago41d+0.46%●Still works on fresh data
Atlanta Sunshine 1 yr204d ago48d+1.94%●Still works on fresh data
Days since last MCU release 1 yr204d ago48d-0.18%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — New York region 3 mo14d ago49d-2.47%●Still works on fresh data
Home Depot (HD) stock price 1 yr131d ago49d+1.16%●Still works on fresh data

Just exited

12 indicators

Windows that closed in the last 30 trading days. Postmortem territory — where the engine's calls now have realized outcomes.

Indicator↕Horizon↕Closed↕Predicted return↕Status↕
Gold RSI(14) 1 mo1d ago-0.30%●Still works on fresh data
iShares Home Construction ETF (ITB) 6 mo5d ago+0.03%●Still works on fresh data
NYC Temperature (Central Park) 3 mo7d ago-0.15%●Still works on fresh data
Philadelphia Temperature 3 mo7d ago-0.03%●Still works on fresh data
Detroit Temperature 3 mo8d ago-0.05%●Still works on fresh data
Portland Sunshine 1 yr16d ago+1.83%●Still works on fresh data
Seattle Sunshine 1 yr16d ago+1.59%●Still works on fresh data
8-K Material-Event Velocity (S&P 500) 6 mo20d ago-1.46%●Still works on fresh data
8-K Exec/Board Change Disclosures (S&P 500) 3 mo23d ago-0.75%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — Texas region 1 wk25d ago-0.05%●Still works on fresh data
ERCOT (Texas) Electricity Demand 1 wk25d ago-0.05%●Still works on fresh data
Cleveland-Cliffs 6 mo30d ago-0.60%●Still works on fresh data
Approaching / firing tiers are derived from cofiring.json (rolling 30-day z-score, threshold 2.0). In-window / just-exited tiers derive from each indicator'sdaysSinceLastFire + the engine's tuned naturalHorizonDays (fallback: canonical bestHorizon). Predicted-return numbers are the historical average, not a forecast. methodology.