— Ticker · NGM —
TLT · iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Fixed Income · Long Treasury
TLT
$80.60
▼ -1.80%
7-day move
7-day move
day$80.57 → $80.7052-wk$80.46 → $92.19avg vol28.9M / 3Mcap$47.0B
Plate I.
The Past Year, in One Line
The Valuation
| P/E (forward) | -4029.8 |
| P/E (trailing) | — |
| EPS (forward) | — |
| EPS (trailing) | — |
| PEG | — |
| Dividend | 4.73% |
The Risk
| Beta | — |
| Short % float | — |
| Float | — |
| Shares out | 109.7M |
| Avg vol (3M) | 28.9M |
| 52w range | $80.46 → $92.19 |
The Analyst Tape
No sell-side analyst coverage on file. ETFs and many small-caps skip the desk treatment.
At a Glance
$47.0B
market cap (USD)
exchangeNGM
sectorFixed Income
industryLong Treasury
market cap$47.0B
The Briefs
live, polled every 60 seconds · Alpaca / Benzinga
No recent headlines for TLT in the last 7 days.
Word on the Street
StockTwits public feed · self-tagged bull/bear
No recent StockTwits posts for TLT.
Indicators That Mention TLT
8 of our 658 catalog map to TLT
SP-4087
Core PCE Price Index (monthly)
The Fed's preferred inflation gauge Core PCE YoY.
50%
↓57%
↓62%
↓66%
↓66%
↓72%
●Still works on fresh data
r=-0.46
SP-4061
CPI Shelter (monthly)
BLS Consumer Price Index for shelter (largest CPI component).
50%
↓58%
↓61%
↓65%
↓66%
↓71%
●Still works on fresh data
r=-0.45
SP-3699
CPI Core (ex food/energy) (monthly)
Core CPI YoY the Fed's preferred CPI cut.
48%
↓57%
↓60%
↓63%
↓65%
↓69%
●Still works on fresh data
r=-0.46
SP-4121
CPI All Items (monthly)
Headline CPI level; YoY change is the inflation print.
52%
↓57%
↓58%
↓64%
↓66%
↓68%
●Still works on fresh data
r=-0.49
SP-4391
Federal Funds Rate (daily)
Effective Fed Funds rate, daily.
↓52%
↓54%
↓57%
↓60%
↓61%
↓67%
●Still works on fresh data
r=-0.26
SP-5470
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index (weekly)
Composite of 18 weekly financial-market indicators.
↓53%
↓54%
↓56%
↓60%
↓63%
↓66%
●Still works on fresh data
r=0.03
SP-4659
Federal Reserve Balance Sheet (weekly)
Total assets on the Fed's H.4.1 liquidity proxy, released Thursdays.
48%
↓55%
↓57%
↓61%
↓64%
↓65%
●Still works on fresh data
r=0.19
SP-1854
2-Year Treasury Yield (daily)
Short-end of the curve Fed-policy expectations.
48%
↓54%
↓56%
↓59%
↓60%
↓64%
●Still works on fresh data
r=-0.29
Standard Poorly Disclaimer
We tested 658 indicators against six horizons. By chance alone, ~197 of these correlations should look "significant." Walk-forward out-of-sample is the only thing we trust.Other Tickers We Cover
Same sector · by market cap · 7-day move
This name
TLT
-1.8%
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BND
-1.1%
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AGG
-1.2%
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF · $138.3B
MUB
-1.0%
iShares National Muni Bond ETF · $45.4B
IEF
-1.6%
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF · $41.8B
LQD
-1.2%
iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF · $32.0B
Who Has Called This Name
PunditPoorly · synthetic P&L from public calls
| Pundit | Venue | Date called | Thesis, abridged | P&L to today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chamath Palihapitiya | Nvidia's Historic Quarter, Saa… | 2026-08-29 | short · "The tactical answer to your question that you asked before is why is he in the market buying bonds? It is ca…" | — |
| David Friedberg | Nvidia's Historic Quarter, Saa… | 2026-08-29 | short · "So my theory and my argument on this is there is no action that Bessent can take that's actually going to ha…" | — |
| David Friedberg | Dario Defends Himself, Datacen… | 2026-08-21 | short · "I would argue if you take a look at the macro cycle, the macro cycle being we printed so much money, we've g…" | — |
| David Friedberg | Chip Stocks Crash, $20B Fund M… | 2026-07-31 | short · "If you take a look at the 30 year treasury yield we just crossed 5.2% for the first time in 20 years. So you…" | — |
| Ben Shapiro | DOGE updates + Liberation Day… | 2025-04-05 | long · "So much so that I called my financial advisor after the state of the union address and told them to rejigger…" | — |
| Ray Dalio | All-In Pod | 2025-01-28 | short · "When that debt service burden rises or there's a big supply demand imbalance... they can let that happen or…" | — |
| David Sacks | All-In Pod | 2023-12-08 | long · "I think there will be a rate cut in Q1. And I think this is the Biden bailout. I think this is a Biden bailo…" | — |
Combined feed
The Flight Log
last 7 days · TLT
News, social posts, fired indicator events, and pundit appearances in one chronological tape. The lead-lag between a signal, the news that follows, and the social reaction is itself the data.
2026-08-29
Pundit · Chamath Palihapitiya
short · "The tactical answer to your question that you asked before is why is he in the market buying bonds? It is ca…"
2026-08-29
Pundit · David Friedberg
short · "So my theory and my argument on this is there is no action that Bessent can take that's actually going to ha…"
2026-08-21
Pundit · David Friedberg
short · "I would argue if you take a look at the macro cycle, the macro cycle being we printed so much money, we've g…"
2026-07-31
Pundit · David Friedberg
short · "If you take a look at the 30 year treasury yield we just crossed 5.2% for the first time in 20 years. So you…"
2025-04-05
Pundit · Ben Shapiro
long · "So much so that I called my financial advisor after the state of the union address and told them to rejigger…"
2025-01-28
Pundit · Ray Dalio
short · "When that debt service burden rises or there's a big supply demand imbalance... they can let that happen or…"
2023-12-08
Pundit · David Sacks
long · "I think there will be a rate cut in Q1. And I think this is the Biden bailout. I think this is a Biden bailo…"
— Voices on TLT —commentarylive
Curated commentary (Kobeissi, Doomberg, Lyn Alden, QuoteTheRaven, Pomp, ZeroHedge) mentioning TLT. Opinion, not wire.
No recent commentary mentioning TLT in the last 7 days.
Analyst · previewYou're seeing the public read on TLT. Analyst unlocks every pundit call on TLT with open P&L + alerts when a new position opens + the full related-indicator firing history. Trader adds intraday quotes + cross-asset co-fire scoring with TLT as the target + the API / MCP feed.Compare tiers →