Sector · serious

Energy & Commodities

WTI, Brent, gas, copper, gold, silver, lumber, lithium.

The hard-asset complex. Crude oil (WTI and Brent), natural gas, the base metals (copper as a leading-growth read, gold as a flight-to-safety asset, silver, lumber), agricultural commodities (lean hogs, wheat), and sector ETFs (XLE energy, LIT lithium, URA uranium, REMX rare earths, COPX copper miners). The commodity complex leads industrial production by 2-6 months.
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Flagship signals

StandardcommoditiesSP-0884

Gold Spot

4,041 7%vs ~6 weeks ago
Gold front-month futures.
last fired 6 months ago

When this fires, SPY averaged +6.6% over the next year — moving in the same direction as the signal 64% of the time.

Signature window6 mo(cell shown is 1 yr — Analyst tier shows the precise horizon)
+3.5%SPY 3 mo into the 1 yr window so far
EXCEEDED HISTORY
49%
−0.01%
1 d
52%
+0.12%
1 wk
54%
+0.46%
1 mo
59%
+1.6%
3 mo
63%
+3.2%
6 mo
64%
+6.6%
1 yr
StandardcommoditiesSP-1505

WTI Crude Oil

82.1 7%vs ~6 weeks ago
Front-month WTI crude futures price.
last fired 3 months ago

Historically barely better than chance over the next six months.

Signature window6 mo
+6.3%SPY 1 mo into the 6 mo window so far
51%
+0.01%
1 d
53%
−0.14%
1 wk
51%
−0.01%
1 mo
51%
+0.06%
3 mo
53%
−0.89%
6 mo
49%
−0.61%
1 yr
StandardcommoditiesSP-1083

Copper (Dr. Copper)

6.33 2%vs ~6 weeks ago
Industrial-demand bellwether copper front-month futures.
last fired 6 months ago

Historically barely better than chance over the next year.

Signature window1 yr
+3.5%SPY 3 mo into the 1 yr window so far
EXCEEDED HISTORY
49%
−0.02%
1 d
48%
−0.12%
1 wk
49%
−0.17%
1 mo
51%
+0.18%
3 mo
52%
+0.60%
6 mo
52%
+0.61%
1 yr

All energy & commodities indicators