"All the correlations that are barely fit to print"
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REAL DATA — disclosed trades, and a $100K shadow portfolio marked to market vs SPY (same SPY-as-cash methodology as the pundit tracker). Tipping detection isn't built for this politician yet.
Almanac variant pending — disclosed-trade pages render in Terminal skin only today (the dense data shape doesn't translate cleanly into newspaper layout yet).
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REP. · WV · INDEPENDENT
Joe Manchin
House · 0 disclosed trades · 12mo
vs SPY · $100K shadow book
-5.7pp
disclosed (all-time)
$188K
late-disclosure rate
0%
total trades
12
book +261.4% vs SPY +267.1% · as of 2026-07-02 · 0 closed positions, 1 still open · based on available price history, not every disclosed ticker has coverage
T[ disclosed trades · 12 · free ]
datetypetickeramountfiled
17-11-29▲ buy—$1K-15K30d
17-04-21▲ buyHBAN$50K-100K30d
16-07-22▲ buy—$1K-15K30d
16-03-17▲ buy—$1K-15K30d
16-02-03▲ buy—$1K-15K30d
16-02-03▲ buy—$1K-15K30d
16-01-12▲ buy—$1K-15K30d
15-05-12▲ buy—$1K-15K30d
15-04-14▲ buy—$1K-15K30d
15-04-14▲ buy—$1K-15K30d
14-11-24▲ buy—$15K-50K30d
14-11-24▲ buy—$1K-15K30d
> what this is not
Vs-SPY is a $100K hypothetical book: each disclosed buy draws down a SPY position sized by the disclosed amount band, sells return proceeds to SPY, mark-to-market at close price. Tipping detection and regime breakdowns are still planned, not built. Nothing here is gated behind a paid tier because nothing else exists yet to gate. Every trade row is sourced from the public STOCK Act filing.
legend▲ buy/up▼ sell/down⚑ tipping◆ 13F fundT tradesO overviewK skinESC back