"All the correlations that are barely fit to print"
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REAL DATA — disclosed trades, and a $100K shadow portfolio marked to market vs SPY (same SPY-as-cash methodology as the pundit tracker). Tipping detection isn't built for this politician yet.
Almanac variant pending — disclosed-trade pages render in Terminal skin only today (the dense data shape doesn't translate cleanly into newspaper layout yet).
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REP. · VA · INDEPENDENT
Gerald E. Connolly
House · 0 disclosed trades · 12mo
vs SPY · $100K shadow book
-37.6pp
disclosed (all-time)
$64K
late-disclosure rate
13%
total trades
8
book +328.1% vs SPY +365.7% · as of 2026-07-02 · 0 closed positions, 1 still open · based on available price history, not every disclosed ticker has coverage
T[ disclosed trades · 8 · free ]
datetypetickeramountfiled
18-12-24exchangeCI$1K-15K124d late
16-12-21▲ buyD$1K-15K23d
15-12-23▲ buyD$1K-15K24d
15-09-23▲ buyD$1K-15K7d
15-06-24▲ buyD$1K-15K5d
15-03-25▲ buyD$1K-15K30d
14-09-24▲ buyD$1K-15K26d
14-06-25▲ buyD$1K-15K23d
> what this is not
Vs-SPY is a $100K hypothetical book: each disclosed buy draws down a SPY position sized by the disclosed amount band, sells return proceeds to SPY, mark-to-market at close price. Tipping detection and regime breakdowns are still planned, not built. Nothing here is gated behind a paid tier because nothing else exists yet to gate. Every trade row is sourced from the public STOCK Act filing.
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